Tractor Has Increment In 2022, The Key Should See These A Few Kinds of Agricultural Machinery and Tools!

Release Date:2022-03-21 enlarge

  It sold 426,000 the tractorunits in 2020 and produced 370,000 units in 2021, respectively, exceeding and reaching historical highs,so after 17 years of high-intensity subsidies, theoretically, the market has been seriously overdrawn, why do tractors still have so acresch production and sales? The answer is the demand pulls the development of agricultural machinery and tools.

    The demand of the tractors is the demand of agricultural machinery and tools shake, which is the bottom logic of the survival of the tractors.

    In essence, the tractor is not an independent value of the agricultural machinery products, the tractor  can't work itself. The tractor only hung in front or behind after grafted in agricultural machinery and implement to achieve one or more homework, so it is a derived demand or affiliate. In this sense, we should analyze the needs of the tractor, It is a clumsy but effective method to analyse the needs of farm machinery hung or towed behind a tractor.

    The author thinks that the after rapid growth, the tractor industry sales are still growing in recent years, largely demand for agricultural machinery. One of the most notable thing is that  some kinds of machines demand for tractor pull such as the deep Baling machine,loosening, straw returned machine, flat machine. The increment of tractor industry still comes from several agricultural machinery market in this year.

  一、 Corn and Soybean Strip Compound Seeder

    As we all know, China Sobeans is heavily dependent on imported. China imported 96.25 million tons of soybeans In 2021, mainly from Brazil, the United States, Canada and other countries with large soybean production. At the same time, the domestic planting area in decline, in 2021 soybean sown area and output present "double reduction". The national sown area of 126 million acres , 22 million acres less than the last year, 16.4 million tons of output, 3.2 million tons less than the last year.

    The domestic cooking oil and livestock industries are heavily dependent on soybeans, while China's soybeans are heavily dependent on Brazil, the United States and Canada, which are all in the CAMP of the United States. In the event of a trade war between China and the United States, these countries will unite to block soybean exports to China.

  

    Henry Kissinger, Former US Secretary of State, said: "If you control food, you control humanity." If soybean production in China completely rely on imports, in other words, the Chinese oil industry and breeding industry is controled by western countries, thus affect the food safety.In QState (203 B.C.) "taking silks submit LuLiang", "buying the deer won Chu stateetc.tragedy like that will repeat itself, but our country has 5000 years of civilization, about food war, ancestors would have played out countless times, so it should not happen in China.

    Expanding soybean planting to increase production is the political task for 2022. Because of soybean yield and yield significantly lower than the corn, rice and most other major crops, banded composite seeding to increase the soybean acreage is a feasible way to best match is compound planting maize soybeans. This model can realize the soybean and corn production, both this is because on the one hand, can make full use of the land, On the other hand, soybean can fix nitrogen fertilizer in the air into the soil, which can increase the nutrition of the soil. In 2021, the combined planting area of soybean and corn in the belt will be more than 7 million acres, and will be increased to 15 million acres in 2022.

  

    Belt composite planting of soybean and corn is the key work of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs in 2022. From 7 million acres to 15 million acres, it will inevitably increase the demand for related agricultural machinery and tools, among which the focus should be sowing agricultural machinery and combined harvester.

  Among them, the sowing function of soybean and corn strip compound planting directly drives the demand of power machinery and tractors. Recently, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs issued the "Guide for the Application of Supporting Machines and Tools for Soybean and corn strip Compound Planting", from which we can see that soybean and corn strip compound planting has different modes such as 2+3, 2+4, 3+4, 4+4, 4+6 and so on.

  Compound planting of seeder has different needs, such as 2+3, 2+4 can be used 5 lines, 6 lines of compound seeder, that is a seeder at the same time to complete the sowing of corn and soybeans, the requirements are different in the seed metering device, this machine is more common in foreign countries, there are enterprises in production in China, and 3+4, 4+4, 4+6 mode, Most are soybean and corn separate sowing, such as first sown corn, and then sown soybean.

    Compound planting on the one hand is to drill will be requested to miniaturization, lines 2, 3, 4 rows planter demand, on the other hand also to form a complete set of small machine of small and medium power tractors demand increase, so the soybean corn belt compound planting is expected to pull the 25 -70 horsepower requirements in 2022. This is the most determined 2022 tractor industry source of incremental.

  二、Straw Baling Machine, Grass Baling Machine

    In the past three years, the hottest agricultural machinery in the domestic agricultural machinery industry is baling machine, and the most profitable agricultural machinery enterprises are straw baling machine enterprises.

    It is said that a company specializing in the production of straw baling machine in northeast of China  had a turnover of 500 million RMB in 2021 and a net profit of more than 200 million RMB, which also makes more profit than some superior agricultural machines such as tractors, cotton pickers, sugarcane machines and so on, so it has attracted hundreds of enterprises to produce.

  

    In terms of usage, the baling machine is divided into forage baling machine and straw baling machine. Forage baling machine is mainly used for alfalfa grass, oat grass, yellow silage and other livestock feed baling machine, while straw baling machine is mainly used for straw baling of industrial agricultural crops.

    In recent years reasons of domestic baling machine has become a popular agricultural machiner, on the one hand, is animal husbandry rapidly increasing demand for forage and straw, grass planting area increased; on the other hand, is a few years ago on the straw power plant, straw toy factory, such as straw board factory project began concentrated into the campaign, and so began to appear on the market for straw phenomenon, which caused the strong demand for straw baling machine.

    In addition, in Xinjiang, Gansu, Inner Mongolia, Ningxia and other large areas of plastic film planting areas in recent years, there is a demand for plastic film recycling baling machine, even if it is a baling machine, just playing waste plastic film.

  

    As can be seen from the figure above, the domestic baling machine has increased from less than 5000 to 30,000 in 2020 and 2021. The hot sales of baling machine, whether grass baling, straw baling or acreslching film baling, has directly driven the demand for tractors. In the Central regions in China, medium and large tractors with 70-150 horsepower had better sales. In the northeast and Xinjiang region demand of 150-250 horsepower large, heavy tractor owned more attention. In addition, straw transport also pulled the demand of medium-sized tractors.

    In 2022, the demand for baling machine is still at a high level, and it is expected that the combined demand for grass, straw and residual film will not be less than 30,000 units. According to the situation learned from the stores of first-line agricultural machinery dealers, many users would be more likely to buy baling machine as units of "tractor + baling machine". For example, many dealers in Jilin province would buy 200 horsepower large tractors with SUNBON 9YFZ-2.2 feed straw baling machine, and it is expected that 30,000 baling machines can pull at least 15,000 tractor sales.

  三、Laser Grader

  Laser grader is used largely in high standard farmland construction. The so-called high standard farmland is the existing land regulation in order to achieve small plot bigger plot, mountain slope platform, or industrial and mining, land reclamation, etc., Of course, different region owned different requirement.

    It can be seen from the National High Standard Farmland Construction Plan (2021-2030) that, through new construction and upgrading, the Chinese government will strive to prioritize the effective irrigated area of large and medium-sized irrigated areas into high standard farmland to ensure that 1 billion acres of high standard farmland will be built by 2022, and 1.75 billion acres of high standard farmland will be built by 2025. By 2030, 1.2 billion acres of high-standard farmland will be built. The standard is that the land is flat and the soil is fertile and the farmland is well-covered and the forest network is formed and roads and canals are connected, which will facilitate large-scale operation and mechanized production.

    In 2022, we will complete the construction of 1 billion acres of high-standard farmland in the National High-standard Farmland Construction Plan (2021-2030). In 2022, the First document of the Central Government clearly stated that 100 million acres of high-standard farmland will be built in that year, and 400 million acres of high-efficient water-saving irrigation area will be built in total.

    As far as the author knows, now the southern Xinjiang region, Heilongjiang, Inner Mongolia, Jiangsu, Anhui and other regions are promoting large-scale high-standard farmland renovation.

  

    Laser grader on high standard farmland construction is standard. At present, many places of laser grader subsidies, such as Xinjiang for 2-3 meters of grader subsidy is 9000 RMB, for more than 3 meters of 11400 RMB. There is strong demand and considerable subsidy support, coupled with automatic navigation and laser positioning and other electronic components of the price continues to reduce, As a result, the domestic laser grader demand and sales are rising together. In 2022, the laser grader sold through subsidies and marketization should exceed 5000 units, which will drive the sales of large wheeled tractors with more than 150 horsepower. In some places, the tractor and grader are a complete set of subsidies.

  四、Deep Pine and Deep Turning Combined Ground Preparation Machine

    Agricultural machinery and tools large-scale, complex, acresltifunctional development is obviously pulling the sales of large tractors matching it, such as power driven rake, large combined ground preparation machine, large combine seeder, etc., which is worth paying attention to the deep loose ground preparation machine.

    Due to the long-term application of chemical fertilizers, pesticides, etc., the soil of most farmland will become hard affecting the output of crops,so the development of deep soil preparation by agricultural machinery is to improve the quality of cultivated land, improve the comprehensive agricultural production capacity, and help farmers produce a good harvest.

    Plow bottom is generally 20 to 25 cm below the surface of the soil, layer thickness of 6 to 12 cm, is due to the long-term application of chemical fertilizers, pesticides and other forms of dead soil, resulting in most farmland soil layer hardened, seriously affect the soil permeability, air permeability. For example, the soil water holding capacity of wheat tillering stage should be 60% to 80%, when the water is insufficient, the root system can not be rooted down, which will affect the yield. So Plow bottom is to break the bottom of the plough and build a reservoir of soil.

    The plots with 30 cm deep soveling can store about 400 cubic meters more water per hectare than the plots without deep soveling, and the average water content during drought increases by about 7 percentage points, which can prolong the drought tolerance time of crops by about 10 days and increase the average yield of wheat, corn and other crops by about 10%.

    It can be said that the emergence of deep pine ground leveler promoted the power jump of domestic wheeled tractors, and changed the proportion structure of two-drive and four-drive tractors. In about 2005, the main marketing tractors in Yellow River and Huai River and Hai River regions such as Shandong, Henan province are 50-70 horsepower two-drive tractors. Since 2009, Chinese government introduced the policy of deep pine whole machine, At the beginning, 80-100 two-drive tractors were selling well. Then the power rose to 110 and 120 horsepower, and then the two drives were not enough. 120-180 four-drive began to flow until now 180-250 horsepower four-drive. During the period, the deep-loose ground preparation project was the inducement, and the deep-loose ground preparation machine was the direct pulling force.

  

    The machine is a China promoted project. In 2016 150 million acres of deep soveling land was planned nationwide, in 2017 165 million acres and 190 million acres of deep soveling land in 2018, 2019 and 2020.

    The subsoil machine should be recycled every three years, otherwise the land will harden. With the frequent use of large agricultural machinery and tools, the demand for subsoil is more urgent than before. 2009-2015 is the first stage, and 2016-2020 is the second stage.

    2022 is about to enter the third stage, the first two stages are policy under the driver behavior, and impetus is farm machinery purchase subsidies and farm machinery subsidy policy, and this stage, in addition to policy driven, and the real business demand that is the long-term use of large agricultural machinery, large-scale cultivation and conservation tillage to deep loosening, deep tillage, the comacresne have rigid requirements, etc.

    Deep sigh, the comacresne are heavy duty work. If we want to use more than 150 horsepower large tractor kit, we need to plus the joint soil preparation machine, and then load will increase. Maybe we will use 200 horsepower, and even heavy tractor, over 300 horsepower and 2022 and future years, deep loosening, the comacresne is still pulling the main power in the large, heavy tractor.The increase in heavy tractors also comes mainly from these heavy duty operations.

    Conclusion: Tractor is a farm machinery niche eternal sunrise industry. There are always rigid requirements. In recent years the land deep loosening the comacresne and change field content, straw returned from the field, a high standard demand pull the related agricultural machinery, such as construction of farmland indirectly derived the tractor's new demand. According to expert's point of view, the future of tractor demand will continue to be "rigid + derived", and pay more attention to derived incremental requirements.